1ºIn case you missed it…
THE REPUBLICAN WAVE IS BUILDING FAST
(CNN)With just over five months before the 2022 midterm elections, it's becoming more and more clear that a Republican wave is building out in the country.
Given that President Biden's job approval is underwater in dozens of districts he carried in 2020, any Democrat sitting in a single-digit Biden seat is at severe risk and even a few in seats Biden carried by 10 to 15 points could lose — particularly in 'orphan' states without competitive statewide races driving turnout," wrote David Wasserman.
The Cook Political Report now has 35 Democratic seats in its "toss-up" category or worse. It has only 10 Republican seats in those same positions.
Democrat survivors in competitive districts will be the exception rather than the rule."
That trend is exacerbated when the president is unpopular -- as defined by having an approval rating under 50%. As Gallup noted in 2018:
…losses tend to be much steeper when the president is unpopular. In Gallup's polling history, presidents with job approval ratings below 50% have seen their party lose 37 House seats, on average, in midterm elections. That compares with an average loss of 14 seats when presidents had approval ratings above 50%."
Biden's approval rating sits at 41% in the most recent Gallup survey and has not been higher than 43% since August
A recent national poll from Quinnipiac University showed Republicans with a four-point edge on the generic ballot. 2021. Fears of a wave washing away even incumbents previously considered safe now seem entirely justified.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/...aac7jq81uAoI0Co

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